Movie-Still Monday Oscar Edition: Saoirse Ronan

 

Atonement
Saoirse Ronan (with James McAvoy) in Atonement (2007)

We begin our celebration of Oscar season by celebrating the previous films of this year’s nominees.  Saoirse Ronan is celebrating her third nomination this year for her performance in Lady Bird.  Ronan is the second youngest woman (behind Jennifer Lawrence) to receive three nominations.  Ronan received her first nomination at age 13 for her role as the little girl you love to hate in Atonement (2007).

 

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Oscar Nominations!

la-la-land-3
La La Land

In the early morning hours of Tuesday, January 24, 2017, Hollywood woke up at the ungodly hour of 5:18 am to find out who the chosen were.  Over the course of the following 10 minutes, the 89th Academy Award nominations were announced by Academy president Cheryl Boone Isaacs, Jennifer Hudson, Brie Larson, Emmanuel Lubezki, Jason Reitman, and Ken Watanabe.

Unsurprisingly, La La Land stole the show by garnering a whopping total of 14 nominations, tying for the most nominations for a single film in Academy history.  Titanic and All About Eve are the only other films to have 14 nominations.  Land received nominations for Best Picture, Best Actor (Ryan Gosling), Best Actress (Emma Stone), Best Director (Damien Chazelle), and Best Original Screenplay (Damien Chazelle).  The film received multiple technical nominations including two for Best Song (“City of Stars” and “Audition (The Fools Who Dream)”).

moonlight-2
Moonlight

Arrival and Moonlight each received eight nominations including Best Picture and Best Director (Denis Villeneuve and Barry Jenkins, respectively).  In a surprise turn, Amy Adams did not receive a sixth nomination for her role in Arrival. Adams has received rave reviews for her role as a linguistics professor interoperating the language of aliens. Mahershala Ali and Naomie Harris both received nominations in the supporting actor/actress categories for their work in Moonlight.

lion-3
Lion

Manchester by the Sea, Hacksaw Ridge, and Lion each received six nominations.  In a surprising turn, Mel Gibson was nominated for Best Director of Hacksaw Ridge.  Gibson previously received two Oscars for Best Director and Best Picture for his work on Braveheart.  Judging by his legal and personal problems over the past 12 years, I honestly believed that Gibson would be left off of this list; after all, the Oscars are not objective.  However, it seems like this is Hollywood’s way of saying, “We forgive you.”

hell-or-high-water-3
Hell or High Water

he Best Picture category was rounded out by Fences, Hell or High Water, and Hidden FiguresFences picked up nominations for Denzel Washington as Best Actor and Viola Davis as Best Supporting Actress, and front runner for the award.  Water and Figures was also nominated in the supporting actor/actress categories for the work of Jeff Bridges and Octavia Spencer.

negga-loving
Ruth Negga in Loving

For the first time in two years, minorities were included among the acting and directing nominees: seven actors/actresses and one director.  These include Denzel Washington for Fences (Best Actor), Ruth Negga for Loving (Best Actress), Mahershala Ali for Moonlight (Best Supporting Actor), Dev Patel for Lion (Best Supporting Actor), and Barry Jenkins for Moonlight (Best Director). Viola Davis (Fences), Naomie Harris (Moonlight), and Octavia Spencer (Hidden Figures) all received nominations in the supporting actress category, making it the first time ever that an acting category has more than two black actors/actresses.

Finally, I have a little Easter Egg for you all.  Lin-Manuel Miranda of Hamilton fame received his first Oscar nomination for writing the song “How Far I’ll Go” from Moana. Yay!

Any surprises or snubs you want to talk about?  Write to us on Twitter or Facebook.

The Academy Awards, hosted by Jimmy Kimmel, will air on Sunday, February 26.

-Ariadne Ansbro

Best Picture

Arrival
Fences
Hacksaw Ridge
Hell or High Water
Hidden Figures
La La Land
Lion
Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight

Best Actress

Isabelle Huppert, Elle
Ruth Negga, Loving
Natalie Portman, Jackie
Emma Stone, La La Land
Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins

Best Supporting Actress

Viola Davis, Fences
Naomie Harris, Moonlight
Nicole Kidman, Lion
Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures
Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea 

Best Actor

Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge
Ryan Gosling, La La Land
Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic
Denzel Washington, Fences 

Best Supporting Actor

Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea
Dev Patel, Lion
Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals

13th

Best Documentary Feature

Fire at Sea
I Am Not Your Negro
Life Animated
O.J.: Made in America
13th 

villeneuve-arrival
Denis Villeneuve directing Arrival

Best Director

Denis Villeneuve, Arrival
Mel Gibson, Hacksaw Ridge
Damien Chazelle, La La Land
Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea
Barry Jenkins, Moonlight

fences
Fences

Best Adapted Screenplay

Arrival, Eric Heisserer
Fences, August Wilson
Hidden Figures, Allison Schroeder and Theodore Melfi
Lion, Luke Davis
Moonlight, Barry Jenkins with story by Tarell Alvin McCranley

lobster
The Lobster

Best Original Screenplay

Hell or High Water, Taylor Sheridan
La La Land, Damien Chazelle
The Lobster, Yorgos Lanthimos and Efthimis Filippou
Manchester by the Sea,
Kenneth Lonergan
20th Century Women
, Mike Mills

toni-erdmann
Toni Erdmann

Best Foreign Language Film

Land of Mine
A Man Called Ove
The Salesman
Tanna
Toni Erdmann

portman-jackie
Jackie

Best Original Score

Jackie
La La Land
Lion
Moonlight
Passengers

 

moana
Moana

Best Original Song

“Audition (The Fools Who Dream),” La La Land
“Can’t Stop the Feeling,” Trolls
“City of Stars,” La La Land
“The Empty Chair,” Jim: The James Foley Story
“How Far I’ll Go,” Moana

 

silence
Silence

Best Cinematography

Arrival
La La Land
Lion
Moonlight
Silence 

hail
Hail, Caesar!

Best Production Design

Arrival
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Hail, Caesar!
La La Land
Passengers 

suicide-squad
Suicide Squad

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

A Man Called Ove
Star Trek Beyond
Suicide Squad

allied-2
Allied

Best Costume Design

Allied
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Florence Foster Jenkins
Jackie
La La Land  

rogue-one
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Best Visual Effects

Deepwater Horizon
Doctor Strange
The Jungle Book
Kubo and the Two Strings
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

deepwater-horizon
Deepwater Horizon

Best Sound Editing

Arrival
Deepwater Horizon
Hacksaw Ridge
La La Land
Sully

hacksaw-ridge
Hacksaw Ridge

Best Sound Mixing

Arrival
Hacksaw Ridge
La La Land
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi

Best Documentary Short

Extremis
4.1 Miles
Joe’s Violin
Watani: My Homeland
The White Helmets

Best Live Action Short

Ennemis Intérieurs
La Femme et le TGV
Silent Nights
Sing
Timecode

zootopia
Zootopia

Best Animated Feature

Kubo and the Two Strings
Moana
My Life as a Zucchini
The Red Turtle
Zootopia

hell
Hell or High Water

Best Film Editing

Arrival
Hacksaw Ridge
Hell or High Water
La La Land
Moonlight

Best Animated Short

Blind Vaysha
Borrowed Time
Pear Cider and Cigarettes
Pearl
Piper

 

And the nominees are…: Our predictions

It’s almost here.  We are a one day away from the announcement of the 89th Academy Award nominees.  I have analyzed the data and predicted which films will receive nominations in five categories: Best Picture, Best Actor, Best Actress, Best Supporting Actor, and Best Supporting Actress.

Best Picture

Arrival

La La Land

Moonlight

Manchester by the Sea

Fences

Hacksaw Ridge

Hell or High Water

Hidden Figures

Lion

Due to the loose constraints regarding the number of nominees in the category, it is very difficult to guess the number of nominees.  Since changing the rules to state that the number of nominated films is between five and ten, the Academy has generally gone with nine nominees.  La La Land, Moonlight, Manchester by the Sea, and Arrival are guaranteed to be nominated.  The others are a little more flexible.  Fences received nominations for a Screen Actors Guild Award (SAG) for Best Ensemble Cast, a Producers Guild Award (PGA), and an American Film Institute Award (AFI) as one of the 10 best films of the year.  Where it faltered was with the Golden Globes and the BAFTAs.  While the two leads are almost assured nominations, the film itself may be thought of as too much like a filmed play.  Hacksaw Ridge has surprised many with its momentum going into the Oscar nominations.  No one was more surprised than me when Mel Gibson was nominated for Best Director at the Golden Globes.  I think that the film could overcome Gibson’s transgressions; however, I highly doubt that he will receive a nomination for Best Director. Hell or High Water was released back in August, which could be a handicap to the film.  Generally, films that open prior to September are forgotten when Awards Season rolls around.  Water has surprised me by receiving nominations at the Golden Globes, the PGA, and AFI, so it may win over Academy voters. Lion and Hidden Figures fall into the well-acted-true-story category.  These films are generally Oscar bait.  I fully expect nominations in the acting categories for Lion and potentially Figures, but their position on this list has not been solidified.

 

Best Actor

Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea

Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge

Ryan Gosling, La La Land

Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic

Denzel Washington, Fences

Since the film came out, Manchester by the Sea has received Oscar buzz.  The performance given by Casey Affleck is considered to be the best of his career and he has racked up the awards and nominations to prove it (look for him to win a SAG this weekend).  It is a foregone conclusion that he will end up with a second Oscar nomination.  Ryan Gosling will also hear his name called on Tuesday morning for his role as the love struck jazz pianist in La La Land.  After all, the film will probably be the most nominated film of the year.  Andrew Garfield is poised to receive his first nomination for his role in Hacksaw Ridge.  He has been nominated for a Golden Globe, SAG, and BAFTA thus far, so I am pretty sure he will be on this list.  The surprise of the award season is the performance of Viggo Mortensen in Captain FantasticFantastic was an independent film that came out back in July.  It flew well below the radar before the Golden Globes, but now everyone seems to feel the love.  The only person I am somewhat concerned about on this list is Denzel Washington.  He is the only one on the list who did not receive a BAFTA nomination.  I believe that this was an oversight, as Washington’s performance in Fences is one his best.  This is a true complement to the man who played Malcolm X, Alonzo Harris, Rubin “Hurricane” Carter, Private Trip, and Steve Biko.  While most years I get three to four of the nominations correct, I am almost positive that the list above is the complete list of this year’s Best Actor nominees.

Best Actress

Amy Adams, Arrival

Natalie Portman, Jackie

Emma Stone, La La Land

Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins

Annette Bening, 20th Century Women

Adams, Portman, and Stone are all shoo-ins in this category.  If one of them doesn’t get a nomination, I fully expect to choke on my breakfast tomorrow.  The last two places are not as definite.  Everyone loves Meryl Streep.  She is the greatest actress of her generation, and possibly the greatest actress of all time.  However, I am always wary come Oscar time that she will not receive a nomination, because she I think people can feel a little Streeped out.  If nominated for Florence Foster Jenkins it will be her 20th acting nomination, far surpassing Katherine Hepburn and Jack Nicholson who each have only 14 nominations.  I ultimately included her because she has received many nominations for this role, and, let’s face it, Oscar loves her.  The final spot is a tough one to call.  There have been so many incredible performances by women this year.  Ruth Negga in Loving, Isabelle Huppert in Elle, Emily Blunt in The Girl on the Train, and Annette Bening in 20th Century Women are the ones that come to mind.  Negga received a Golden Globe nomination, and she is playing a real-life person who changed our country’s civil rights laws.  Huppert won the Golden Globe for playing a rape victim who is determined to take her life back.  Blunt brings to life the boozy, self-destructive “heroine” of last year’s best selling fiction book. She received nominations for a SAG and a BAFTA. Bening plays a single mother trying to connect with her teenage son, and she received a Golden Globe nomination for her efforts.  These amazing performances make this a really tight race for that final slot.  Ultimately, I went with Bening.  She is ripe for another Oscar nomination.  However, look out for Blunt as the dark horse.

Best Supporting Actor

Mahershala Ali, Moonlight

Hugh Grant, Florence Foster Jenkins

Dev Patel, Lion

Aaron Taylor-Johnson, Nocturnal Animals

Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water

Ali and Patel have consistently received accolades and nominations for their work in Moonlight and Lion, respectively.  They are assured to be among the Oscar nominees.  Bridges is the one actor from Water to receive multiple nominations from the various pre-Oscar awards.  That leaves two spots.  I honestly feel that Grant will receive his first nomination for his work in Jenkins.  However, he was nominated for Best Actor at the Golden Globes and Best Supporting Actor at the SAGs.  This is where it can get sticky.  I ended up in the same place last year with Alicia Vikander and her role in The Danish Girl.  She was consistently nominated for Best Actress, but come Oscar time she was Best Supporting Actress.  Since the Screen Actors Guild put him in as Best Supporting Actor, I will follow their lead and say he will end up in the supporting category.  Taylor-Johnson surprisingly won a Golden Globe for his work in Nocturnal Animals, but then he was forgotten by the SAGs.  Not to mention, there are several other actors who have received nominations from the other voting bodies.  Simon Helberg (Florence Foster Jenkins) received a nomination for a Golden Globe and Lucas Hedges (Manchester by the Sea) was nominated for a SAG.  Ultimately, I think that Taylor-Johnson will fill out the category.

Best Supporting Actress

Viola Davis, Fences

Naomie Harris, Moonlight

Nicole Kidman, Lion

Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea

Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures

Again, I get angry when the studios try to game the system by having leading actors/actresses nominated for supporting actor/actress in order to win an award.  Viola Davis won a Tony for her work in Fences as Best Leading Actress in a Play, not supporting.  However, the studio feels that for Davis to win, she will need to be in the supporting category.  Harris, Kidman, and Williams have all been part of the five nominees at the Globes, SAGs, and BAFTAs.  The only question here is Spencer.  She received a Globe and SAG nomination, but not a BAFTA.  That spot went to Hayley Squires for I, Daniel Blake.  Since Blake has not received any award buzz here in the U.S., I would say that Spencer will finish out the category.

What about you guys?  Do you think there will be something else nominated?  Let us know on Facebook and Twitter.  The Oscar nominations will be announced tomorrow, January 24, at 8:18 am ET/5:18 am PT.

-Ariadne Ansbro

2016 Oscar Nominations

Oscar promo

Well, that was interesting.  The Academy Awards nominations were announced this morning by Guillermo del Toro, Ang Lee, Academy president Cheryl Boone Isaacs, and John Krasinski.  While many of my predictions were correct, there were definitely some surprises this morning.

While it was obvious that Alicia Vikander would receive a nomination for her role in The Danish Girl, the question became which category would she be nominated in?  The roll was a substantial one and would normally be considered for the Lead Actress category.  However, the film’s production company has been pushing for her to be nominated in the Supporting Actress category.  The production company won out and Vikander was placed in the Supporting Actress category.  The surprise nomination in that category was Rachel McAdams for her role as an investigative journalist in Spotlight.  Most of the buzz has been given to her other two costars, Michael Keaton and Mark Ruffalo, so it was quite a shock to see her mentioned here.

With Vikander vacating a spot in the Best Lead Actress category, 69 year old Charlotte Rampling was able to receive her first ever Oscar nomination for 45 Years.  This is an independent film that has not generated much in the way of award buzz, so Rampling’s nomination is a pleasant surprise.

For my money, the biggest surprise announcement was in the Supporting Actor category.  While critics have praised Tom Hardy’s villainous turn in The Revenant, he has not been included on many of the pre Oscar award lists.  However, he was triumphant, receiving his first nomination.  If I were to hazard a guess, this is mainly due to the kind of year Hardy has had. He starred in three films this year, two of which are nominated for Best Picture (The Revenant and Mad Max: Fury Road), so this nomination is likely in recognition of that. The other major surprise in this category was the fact that Idris Elba was snubbed for his role in Beasts of No Nation.  Elba received nominations from the Golden Globes, the BAFTAs, and the SAG awards, so this is an unfortunate surprise.

In the Best Director category, many were surprised at the omission of Ridley Scott for directing The Martian.  Much like Elba, Scott has been consistently nominated during this award season, including a nomination from the Directors Guild of America. The slot that he would have occupied was given to Lenny Abrahamson for his direction of RoomRoom is performing in much the same way that Beasts of the Southern Wild did in 2013.  Beasts received surprise nominations for Best Picture, Best Lead Actress (Quvenzhané Wallis), Best Director (Benh Zeitlin), and Best Adapted Screenplay.  Room has been gaining a lot of ground throughout this awards season, but no one really thought it would perform as well as it has.  Along with the nomination for Best Director, Room received nominations for Best Picture, Best Lead Actress (Brie Larson), and Best Adapted Screenplay.

While none of the Best Picture nominees was a shock, the lack of nomination for Carol was stunning.  Carol has long been thought of as one of the real contenders this year.  It has shown up on countless critics’ top ten lists and has performed well during the awards season.  Carol ended up receiving only six nominations including Best Lead Actress (Cate Blanchett), Best Supporting Actress (Rooney Mara), and Best Adapted Screenplay.

It should come as no surprise that The Revenant dominated the nominations this year.  It is the most nominated film of the year with a total of 12 nominations including: Best Picture, Best Actor (Leonardo DiCaprio), Best Supporting Actor (Tom Hardy), and Best Director (Alejandro G. Iñárritu).  Mad Max: Fury Road was not far behind with a total of 10 nominations.  The film was nominated for Best Picture, Best Director (George Miller), and a plethora of technical awards.  This is followed by The Martian with seven nominations which include Best Picture and Best Actor (Matt Damon).

What did you think of the nominations?  Surprises? Snubs? Extreme love for any certain movie?  Let us know on Facebook or Twitter.

The 88th Academy Awards, hosted by Chris Rock, will be handed out on February 28th.

-Ariadne Ansbro

Full list of nominees below:

 

Best Picture
The Big Short
Bridge of Spies
Brooklyn
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Room
Spotlight

 

Best Actress
Cate Blanchett, Carol
Brie Larson, Room
Jennifer Lawrence, Joy
Charlotte Rampling, 45 Years
Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn

Best Actor
Bryan Cranston, Trumbo
Matt Damon, The Martian
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant
Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs
Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl

Best Supporting Actress
Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight
Rooney Mara, Carol
Rachel McAdams, Spotlight
Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl
Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs

 

Best Supporting Actor
Christian Bale, The Big Short
Tom Hardy, The Revenant
Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight
Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies
Sylvester Stallone, Creed

 

Best Director
The Big Short, Adam McKay
Mad Max: Fury Road, George Miller
The Revenant, Alejandro G. Iñárritu
Room, Lenny Abrahamson
Spotlight, Tom McCarthy

 

Best Adapted Screenplay
The Big Short, Charles Randolph and Adam McKay
Brooklyn, Nick Hornby
Carol, Phyllis Nagy
The Martian, Drew Goddard
Room, Emma Donoghue

 

Best Original Screenplay
Bridge of Spies, Matt Charman and Ethan Coen & Joel Coen
Ex Machina, Alex Garland
Inside Out, Pete Docter, Meg LeFauve, Josh Cooley; Original story by Pete Docter, Ronnie del Carmen
Spotlight, Josh Singer & Tom McCarthy
Straight Outta Compton, Jonathan Herman and Andrea Berloff; Story by S. Leigh Savidge & Alan Wenkus and Andrea Berloff

 

Best Animated Feature
Anomalisa
Boy and the World
Inside Out
Shaun the Sheep Movie
When Marnie Was There

 

Best Documentary Feature
Amy
Cartel Land
Look of Silence
What Happened Miss Simone
Winter on Fire

 

Best Foreign Language Film
Embrace of the Serpent, Colombia
Mustang, France
Son of Saul, Hungary
Theeb, Jordan
A War, Denmark

 

Sicario
Sicario

Best Original Score
Bridge of Spies, Thomas Newman
Carol, Carter Burwell
The Hateful Eight, Ennio Morricone
Sicario, Jóhann Jóhannsson
Star Wars: The Force Awakens, John Williams

 

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Youth

Best Original Song
Earned It,” Fifty Shades of Grey (Music and Lyric by Abel Tesfaye, Ahmad Balshe, Jason Daheala Quenneville and Stephan Moccio)
Manta Ray,” Racing Extinction (Music by J. Ralph and Lyric by Antony Hegarty)
“Simple Song #3,” Youth (Music and Lyric by David Lang)
“Til it Happens to You,” The Hunting Ground (Music and Lyric by Diane Warren and Lady Gaga)
“Writing’s on the Wall,” Spectre (Music and Lyric by Jimmy Napes and Sam Smith)

 

the-hateful-eight
The Hateful Eight

Best Cinematography
Carol
The Hateful Eight
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant
Sicario

 

spot.jpg
Spotlight

Best Film Editing
The Big Short
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant
Spotlight
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

 

Danish Girl
The Danish Girl

Best Production Design
Bridge of Spies
The Danish Girl
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian

 

Mad Max 2
Mad Max: Fury Road

Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Mad Max: Fury Road
The 100-Year-Old Man Who Climbed Out a Window and Disappeared
The Revenant

 

Cinderella
Cinderella

Best Costume Design
Carol
Cinderella
The Danish Girl
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant

 Best Animated Short
Bear Story
Prologue
Sanjay’s Super Team
We Can’t Live Without Cosmos
World of Tomorrow

 

Force Awakens A
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Best Visual Effects
Ex Machina
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

 

leonardo-dicaprio-revenant-trailer-buried-alive-092915
The Revenant

Best Sound Editing
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Sicario
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

 Best Sound Mixing
Bridge of Spies
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

 Best Documentary Short
Body Team 12
Chau, Beyond the Lines
Claude Lanzmann: Spectres of the Shoah
A Girl in the River: The Price of Forgiveness
Last Day of Freedom

 Best Live Action Short
Ave Maria
Day One
Everything Will Be Okay (Alles Wird Gut)
Shok
Stutterer

 

Oscars 2016 – Who will be nominated?

oscar-statues

We are mere hours away from the announcement of the nominations for the 88th Academy Awards.  In preparation for this major event, I have spent hours analyzing statistics, pouring over past winners and trends, and creating a special algorithm to show the statistical possibilities of each nomination. Well, maybe I didn’t do quite that much.  Anyway, below are my predictions for Best Actor, Best Actress, Best Supporting Actor, Best Supporting Actress, and Best Picture.

Best Actor

Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant

Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl

Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs

Bryan Cranston, Trumbo

Matt Damon, The Martian

This category is probably the most stable of all five of the categories I am predicting.  The first four potential nominees on this list have been nominated for the Golden Globe, Screen Actors Guild Award, and BAFTA.  The fifth position is a bit tricky.  Matt Damon won the Golden Globe this past Sunday, however, he did not receive a nomination from the Screen Actors Guild.  The voting body of the Golden Globes has no overlap with the Academy voters, yet many of the members of the Screen Actors Guild are members of the Academy.  The overwhelming success of The Martian will probably be the thing that propels Damon to his third acting nomination.  If he is not included in this list, he will most likely be replaced with Will Smith for Concussion, who received a Golden Globe nomination or Johnny Depp for Black Mass, who was nominated by the Screen Actors Guild.

Best Actress

Brie Larson, Room

Cate Blanchett, Carol

Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn

Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl

Jennifer Lawrence, Joy

Larson, Blanchett, and Ronan are pretty much guaranteed to hear their names announced tomorrow.  As a matter of fact, Vikander is too, however, the category is still up for grabs.  The production company responsible for The Danish Girl has been pushing Vikander in the Supporting Actress category.  They were successful at the Screen Actors Guild Awards, however, for both the BAFTAs and the Golden Globes, Vikander’s performance in this film was listed in the Lead Actress category.  Since she was in more of the film than the titular character, I am going to bet that she is nominated in this category.  The fifth spot is not quite as secure.  Regardless of her win at the Golden Globes on Sunday, Jennifer Lawrence was completely snubbed by the Screen Actors Guild and the BAFTAs.  The Academy does have a love affair with Lawrence, though, so I expect that she will receive her fourth career nomination for Joy.  If she is not included in this category, she will most likely be usurped by Charlotte Rampling for 45 Years or Maggie Smith for The Lady in the Van.  As much as the Academy loves 25 year-old Lawrence, they do love honoring screen veterans late in life too.

Best Supporting Actor

Christian Bale, The Big Short

Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies

Idris Elba, Beasts of No Nation

Jacob Tremblay, Room

Sylvester Stallone, Creed

I went out on a limb here with the last two nominations.  This may seem like an odd statement considering Sylvester Stallone just won the Golden Globe.  The thing is that Stallone was not nominated for a SAG award or a BAFTA.  Due to the overwhelming popularity of film and the critical acclaim it is receiving, I think that there is a good possibility that Stallone could receive a nomination.  Jacob Tremblay’s role in Room has been widely acclaimed since the film premiered.  The Academy has been very reticent about nominating children in the past. It has been 16 years since a child has received a nomination in this category, so either Tremblay could be the one to break the streak or history will work against him.  If either Tremblay or Stallone are not nominated, it would leave a space for any number of other performances to nab a nomination.  Mark Ruffalo or Michael Keaton are both primed to sneak in an acting nomination for Spotlight.  Christian Bale’s costar in The Big Short Steve Carell could also surprise everyone by getting his second consecutive Oscar nomination for his role as a hedge fund manager with a heart.  Yes, I do know that is an oxymoron.   The other possibilities are Benicio Del Toro for his role in Sicario or Michael Shannon for 99 Homes.

 

Best Supporting Actress

Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs

Rooney Mara, Carol

Helen Mirren, Trumbo

Jane Fonda, Youth

Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight

As I previously mentioned, Alicia Vikander could completely mess up my predictions for this category.  If she is nominated for Supporting Actress, she will bump either Jane Fonda or Jennifer Jason Leigh.  Kate Winslet, Ronney Mara, and Helen Mirren are all safe bets, and I would be very surprised if one of them does not end up with a nomination.  The other two spots could go in many directions.  Vikander’s role in Ex Machina has gained momentum in recent weeks due to a Golden Globe nomination and a BAFTA nomination.  If she is nominated for The Danish Girl in the Lead Actress category, she could earn a second nomination here.  Rachel McAdams earned a SAG nomination for Spotlight, however, she is does not have as strong a role as Michael Keaton or Mark Ruffalo.  If they are not included in the Supporting Actor race, this could be the film’s conciliation prize.  Brooklyn’s Julie Walters received a BAFTA nomination last week, which could allow her to worm her way to a third Oscar nomination.  Ultimately, I think that Jennifer Jason Leigh will get her first (!) nomination for her role in Quentin Tarentino’s latest film The Hateful Eight.  Also, even though Jane Fonda only showed up in one scene in Youth, she stole the show. The Academy has been known to award a short amount of screen time, so this does not take away from her chances.  (See Beatrice Straight winning for a 5 minute and 40 second role in Network, Judi Dench’s 8 minutes in Shakespeare in Love,  and Gloria Grahame’s 9 minute part in The Bad and the Beautiful.)

 

Best Picture

Spotlight

The Revenant

Carol

Room

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Big Short

The Martian

Brooklyn

Bridge of Spies

Straight Outta Compton

The Academy rules state that there can be anywhere between 5 and 10 Best Picture nominees.  It is pretty impossible for me to predict the number of films that will be nominated, so I am working under the assumption that there will be 10 nominees.  SpotlightThe RevenantThe Big Short, and Carol seem to be sure things.  The Martian‘s win at the Golden Globes should be a good indicator that this film will make it onto the list.  As one of the best reviewed movies of the year, Mad Max: Fury Road has continually gotten nominations for Best Picture during this awards season, making it a good bet for a nomination tomorrow.  Bridge of Spies was released early in the autumn, causing it to lose momentum as the award season came around.  Last week it made a come back by getting a nomination for the Producers Guild of America Award for Best Picture.  Room and Brooklyn have locked in nominations in the Lead Actress category, however, these are small films with limited release and that could hurt their chances for getting a nomination for Best Picture.  They were both nominated for Golden Globes, but only Brooklyn received a nomination from the PGA.  Straight Outta Compton surprised many in the Hollywood community by getting a nomination for Best Ensemble Cast from the SAGs.  To prove it wasn’t just a fluke, the PGA also nominated it for Best Picture.  A nomination for this film would be a welcome addition to this category.

So, what do you guys think?  Am I totally off base?  We will see tomorrow when the Academy Award nominations will be announced at 8:30 am EST.

-Ariadne Ansbro

Movie-Still Monday: Oscar Nominess

Julianne Moore, Boogie Nights (1997)
Julianne Moore, Boogie Nights (1997)

For her work in Still Alice, Julianne Moore received her fifth Academy Award nomination and quite possibly could win her first Oscar. She has received Oscar nominations for: Boogie Nights (1997), The End of the Affair (1999), Far from Heaven (2002), The Hours (2002), and Still Alice (2014)

MoviefiedNYC’s 2014 Academy Awards Contest


In Honor of the 86th Annual Academy Awards, MoviefiedNYC invites you to celebrate this year’s awards by entering our very own Oscar contest. The participant who picks the most Oscar winners in each category will find themselves a winner of a Semi-Fabulous Prize made up of exciting movie swag and bragging rights. The sooner you enter the better. In case of a tie, the date of earliest entry serves as the tiebreaker.

Deadline to enter is 12:00 pm EST, Saturday, March 1, 2014.

So, come on! Scroll down and fill out the entry form below.

Good Luck!

Myrna & David

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